Michigan Senate Race As Close As Alaska, Kansas In New Polls

(Source: MIRS.news, Published 10/13/2026) Michigan’s U.S. Senate race remains narrowly divided, with Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a two-point edge over Republican Mike Rogers in new InsiderAdvantage polling that also shows close contests in Alaska and Kansas.

El-Sayed received 48% to Rogers’ 46% in the Oct. 9-10 survey. In Kansas, Democrat Adam Hamilton received 48% to Republican Roger Marshall’s 47%. Alaska’s ranked-choice result put Democrat Mary Peltola at 50% and Republican Dan Sullivan at 48%.

Each survey included 1,200 likely voters and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 2.83 percentage points. The small gaps do not establish a clear leader in any of the three contests. The surveys were weighted by age, race, gender and political affiliation.

The similar margins carry different implications for Senate control. Michigan’s seat is held by Democrat Gary Peters, while Sullivan and Marshall hold Republican seats in Alaska and Kansas. The results show Republicans competing closely for a Democratic-held seat while defending two of their own.

El-Sayed’s advantage was unchanged from InsiderAdvantage’s September Michigan survey, which put him ahead 47% to 45%. Both candidates gained one point in the October results, leaving the gap at two points. Neither movement establishes a meaningful change in support.

Michigan’s numerical gap is smaller than those in the firm’s earlier surveys of North Carolina and Georgia. A Sept. 16-18 North Carolina poll put Democrat Roy Cooper ahead of Republican Michael Whatley, 48% to 43%. A Sept. 22-23 Georgia survey showed Democrat Jon Ossoff ahead of Republican Mike Collins, 50% to 42%. Those polls were conducted several weeks before the latest Michigan survey, limiting a direct comparison.